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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.

Antonio Gibson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 84.6% to 88.0%.

Antonio Gibson's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 7.51 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 6.67 rate last year.

Antonio Gibson's 10.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a substantial improvement in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 7.5% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Antonio Gibson's 21.4% Route Participation% this season shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass game workload over last season's 45.5% rate.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Antonio Gibson's 13.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 24.0 rate.

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