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Antonio Gibson
NFL · Player Props
Antonio Gibson
RB · Washington Commanders
Receiving Yards
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST
NFL Props Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -117.

Favors Over
  • The Commanders feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 13.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • Antonio Gibson's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 19.9.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Philadelphia's DT corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.
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