Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Commanders are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Washington Commanders have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to notch 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among RBs.
Antonio Gibson has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 11.3% this year, which places him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
Antonio Gibson's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging just 6.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.95 mark last year.
The Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 25.0) vs. running backs this year.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against running backs this year, conceding 5.02 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.

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