Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to garner 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Antonio Gibson has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Antonio Gibson has totaled a mere 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.
Antonio Gibson's skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, totaling a mere 6.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.95 rate last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, allowing 5.28 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.25 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the NFL.