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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 70.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to accrue 3.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Antonio Gibson has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.

Antonio Gibson's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, averaging a measly 0.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.95 rate last season.

The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 31.0) to RBs since the start of last season.

The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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