Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Antonio Gibson's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging just 6.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.95 mark last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency against running backs this year, yielding 5.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.85 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the league.

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