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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Carries
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Antonio Gibson's 32.3% snap rate this season conveys a meaningful drop-off in his offensive utilization over last season's 46.0% rate.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, New York's collection of DEs has been dreadful this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.7 plays per game.

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