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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Carries
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 4th-most run-oriented team in the league (44.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

The New York Jets defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst DE corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are huge underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.

The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

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