Antonio Gibson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Washington Commanders have risked going for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game this week (32.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.8% in games he has played).
The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends profile as the 5th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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