Antonio Gibson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to earn 14.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Antonio Gibson has been given 64.6% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
The Detroit Lions defensive ends project as the worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Commanders have been the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 29.1% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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