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Antonio Gibson
NFL · Player Props
Antonio Gibson
RB · Washington Commanders
Carries
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022 Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Antonio Gibson Carries

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
  • The Washington Commanders have faced a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Washington Commanders have risked going for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Washington Commanders will be starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Antonio Gibson has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this season (40.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (65.2%).
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