Anthony Richardson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Anthony Richardson

NFL · Player Props

Anthony Richardson

QB · Indianapolis Colts

TD Passes

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Richardson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+205/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Colts have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Los Angeles cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The predictive model expects the Colts as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Rams defense has yielded the 9th-fewest passing TDs in football: 1.20 per game since the start of last season.

More Anthony Richardson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow