Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

Anthony Richardson

NFL · Player Props

Anthony Richardson

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The model projects the Colts as the 4th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 43.6% run rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 129.4 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Anthony Richardson to earn 8.1 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

Favors Under

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Tennessee Titans run defense has surrendered a colossal 3.41 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 32nd-highest rate in the NFL.
The Titans safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

More Anthony Richardson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow