Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Anthony Richardson

NFL · Player Props

Anthony Richardson

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.2% run rate.
The model projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Colts have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The model projects Anthony Richardson to accrue 8.6 carries in this game, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Los Angeles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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