Anthony Richardson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Anthony Richardson

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Passing Yards

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 15, 2023 6:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Richardson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 199.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Houston Texans defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.55 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.3% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 197.0 per game) against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.