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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Anthony Richardson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Los Angeles cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The predictive model expects the Colts as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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