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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Anthony Richardson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The model projects the Colts as the 4th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 43.6% run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 129.4 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Anthony Richardson to earn 8.1 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The Titans safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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