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Anthony Firkser

Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Anthony Firkser has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, catching a stellar 80.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (73.5%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (73.5%).
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.73 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Anthony Firkser has been among the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 13th percentile.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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