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Anthony Firkser

Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Anthony Firkser's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.3% to 86.7%.
  • Anthony Firkser's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 10.60 yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.45 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
  • Anthony Firkser has been less involved as a potential target this year (27.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (50.4%).
  • Anthony Firkser has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).

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