Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Anthony Firkser

NFL · Player Props

Anthony Firkser

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Anthony Firkser's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.3% to 86.7%.
Anthony Firkser's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 10.60 yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.45 mark last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
Anthony Firkser has been less involved as a potential target this year (27.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (50.4%).
Anthony Firkser has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).

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