Andy Isabella Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Andy Isabella

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:00 PM UTC

Analysis

Andy Isabella Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.9%).
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated play action on 30.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
Andy Isabella has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of just 2.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 22nd percentile among WRs.
Andy Isabella has notched a puny 11.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 16th percentile among wide receivers.
The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 136.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.