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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Andy Dalton TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-280/+215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are huge -9-point underdogs.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in football.
  • Andy Dalton's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 56.2% to 65.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-least pass-focused team in football (57.4% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Panthers.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Panthers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 53.7 plays per game.
  • This year, the strong Denver Broncos defense has conceded a measly 0.86 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Denver's group of CBs has been terrific this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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