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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Andy Dalton TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The Panthers rank as the 3rd-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 67.3% red zone pass rate.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

Andy Dalton's 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful boost in his passing precision over last year's 56.2% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

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