Andy Dalton TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

TD Passes

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+117/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Andy Dalton has been among the top touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 1.80 per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest rate in football against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (73.5%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 33.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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