Andy Dalton TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

TD Passes

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+173/-233).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.4% red zone pass rate.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in football vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year (66.2%).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 4th-least passing TDs in football: 0.80 per game this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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