Andy Dalton TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

TD Passes

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-162).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
Andy Dalton's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 62.7% to 66.0%.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest level in football versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year (74.5%).
The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 8th-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.50 per game this year.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the quickest in football since the start of last season.

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