My Account Log Out

reorder

Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Andy Dalton TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-230).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The New Orleans Saints O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 30.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.

The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

More Andy Dalton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™