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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.9% run rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

The model projects Andy Dalton to accrue 2.1 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.

Andy Dalton hasn't attempted to carry the ball himself even once this year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Chicago's group of safeties has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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