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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Andy Dalton's rushing effectiveness (6.08 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (81st percentile among QBs).
  • The Baltimore Ravens linebackers profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 42.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to total 1.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

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