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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.3% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (6.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.8% in games he has played).
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • Andy Dalton's rushing efficiency (6.06 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (78th percentile among quarterbacks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to notch 1.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Andy Dalton has been among the worst QBs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.67 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 8th-least yards in football (just 106 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

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