Andy Dalton Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 3:56 PM EST

Analysis

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (6.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.8% in games he has played).
The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
Andy Dalton's rushing efficiency (6.06 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (78th percentile among quarterbacks).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to notch 1.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
Andy Dalton has been among the worst QBs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.67 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.
Opposing teams have run for the 8th-least yards in football (just 106 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

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