Andy Dalton Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (7.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.2% in games he has played).
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
Andy Dalton's ground efficiency (5.84 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (77th percentile among QBs).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to notch 2.1 carries in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-least yards in football (just 94 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

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