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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (7.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.9% in games he has played).
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Andy Dalton's ground efficiency (6.01 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (79th percentile among quarterbacks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to accrue 2.2 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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