Andy Dalton Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (7.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to total 1.9 carries this week, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.

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