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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.6% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (7.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to total 1.9 carries this week, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.

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