Andy Dalton Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to accrue 1.7 carries this week, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.
Andy Dalton's ground efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 5.06 yards-per-carry vs a 6.17 rate last season.
Andy Dalton has been among the weakest QBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.64 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.
The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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