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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/-104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to accrue 1.7 carries this week, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.
  • Andy Dalton's ground efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 5.06 yards-per-carry vs a 6.17 rate last season.
  • Andy Dalton has been among the weakest QBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.64 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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