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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 243.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 248.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 243.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

Andy Dalton's 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful boost in his passing precision over last year's 56.2% mark.

This year, the porous Washington Commanders defense has conceded a staggering 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 10th-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

Andy Dalton has been one of the least efficient passers in the league this year, averaging a mere 6.45 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 19th percentile.

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