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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 227.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 222.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Panthers to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The model projects Andy Dalton to attempt 36.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most among all QBs.

Andy Dalton's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 56.2% to 63.9%.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in the league versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (76.4% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.

Andy Dalton is positioned as one of the worst per-play QBs in football this year, averaging a lowly 6.29 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 12th percentile.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.87 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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