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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 216.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 218.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 216.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

Andy Dalton's 63.7% Adjusted Completion% this year shows an impressive gain in his throwing accuracy over last year's 56.2% figure.

The Chicago Bears defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Panthers.

The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

This year, the fierce Chicago Bears defense has surrendered a paltry 189.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Chicago cornerbacks rank as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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