Andy Dalton Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 244.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season (74.2%).
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.41 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Andy Dalton has been among the worst passers in football since the start of last season, averaging 190.0 yards per game while checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Andy Dalton has been among the least efficient quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 6.47 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 18th percentile.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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