Andy Dalton Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-140/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 223.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 225.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Andy Dalton has thrown for substantially more yards per game (219.0) this season than he did last season (182.0).
Andy Dalton's pass-game efficiency has improved this year, totaling 7.33 yards-per-target vs just 6.19 mark last year.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (265.0 per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.06 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in football.
The Atlanta Falcons pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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