Andy Dalton Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 6, 2022 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 219.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 220.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 219.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a huge 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Andy Dalton has passed for a lot more yards per game (214.0) this season than he did last season (183.0).
The New Orleans Saints O-line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 34.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 4th-least yards in the NFL (just 207.0 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest level in football versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (67.1%).

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