Andy Dalton Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 208.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Andy Dalton has passed for substantially more yards per game (210.0) this year than he did last year (183.0).
The New Orleans Saints O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 30.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.14 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in football.
The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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