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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 226.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • Andy Dalton has thrown for a lot more yards per game (212.0) this season than he did last season (183.0).
  • Opposing teams have thrown for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (285.0 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.25 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 25.5 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.2%).
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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