Andy Dalton Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 226.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Andy Dalton has thrown for a lot more yards per game (212.0) this season than he did last season (183.0).
Opposing teams have thrown for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (285.0 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.25 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 25.5 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.2%).
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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