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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box vs. opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 33.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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