Andy Dalton Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Pass Attempts

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box vs. opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 33.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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