Andy Dalton Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Pass Attempts

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 6, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+133/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -184.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a huge 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 34.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.
The New Orleans Saints have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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