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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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