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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Interceptions
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints

Andy Dalton Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Andy Dalton has thrown 0.93 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 19th percentile among quarterbacks.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The New Orleans Saints have been faced with a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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