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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Andy Dalton Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a huge 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The New Orleans Saints O-line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 34.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest level in football versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (67.1%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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