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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric offense in football (41.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.
  • The projections expect the Panthers to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
  • The model projects Andy Dalton to notch 2.3 carries this week, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Comprising a mere 3.7% of his offense's carries this year (22nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Andy Dalton's lack of mobility makes him no threat in the run game.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's DT corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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