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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-109/-121).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.

The Lions are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Amon-Ra St. Brown has earned 2.2% of carries this year (84th percentile).

Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 8.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among wide receivers and tight ends (96th percentile).

Amon-Ra St. Brown's ground effectiveness (15.53 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (100th percentile among WRs and TEs).

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (128 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

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