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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have only 129.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The Detroit Lions have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 59.6 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 27.1% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a big 8.5-point favorite this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: fewest in the league.

This year, the daunting Washington Commanders defense has conceded a meager 63.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 8th-best rate in football.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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