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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.

Our trusted projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 9.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

With an extraordinary 27.4% Target% (94th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.

With a fantastic 6.7 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places as one of the top WRs in the game in the league.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 75.1% to 82.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 57.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.2 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: fewest in the league.

This year, the formidable 49ers defense has given up a meager 59.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

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